Investment Strategies
Move Over BRICs, Here Come The MINTs - Fidelity

After the success of BRICs – that’s Brazil, Russia,
India and China - as an opportunity for investors over the
past decade, MINTs - Mexico,
Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey - could provide similarly
high returns in the coming decade, says
Fidelity International.
The asset management company says Indonesia is the most BRIC-like
of
these emerging economies, because it has a large population of
245 million,
dominated by young people with rising disposable incomes. Its
analysts also
point to the Indonesian government’s economic goal of becoming
one of the
world’s 10 largest economies by 2025, stated in December last
year.
To illustrate the performance of some of the MINTs, data
from MSCI Barra showed that total returns – capital growth plus
reinvested
dividends – for Turkey were
9.7 per cent in the 10 years to the end of 2010; for Mexico,
returns were 16.2 per cent, and Indonesia put in a
sizzling 26.7 per cent. For the BRICs, the returns were 17.82 per
cent in the
decade to 2010.
Turkey
represents a promising investment opportunity, says Fidelity,
because its
economy has recovered strongly since the global downturn, growing
by an
estimated 8.1 per cent in 2010. Reforms and policies enacted
after its own
economic crisis in 2001 are also starting to bear fruit. As a
result, the
Turkish banking system survived the global crisis relatively
unscathed, and the
country’s public finances are in better shape than those of many
Eurozone
nations.
African countries are usually seen as a risky investment
because of perceptions of conflict, famine and poverty, but
Fidelity says Nigeria’s large
population and abundance of natural resources are starting to
boost economic
growth and investment in the nation. The recent re-election of
Goodluck
Jonathan as President suggests stability and the continuation of
reform, says
the asset management firm.
Finally, Mexico’s
economy should grow because it is exporting more goods to the US
as China’s labour costs become less
competitive. Fidelity says Mexico’s
economic strengths and weaknesses lie in the fact that it is so
closely tied to
its neighbour to the north. 80 per cent of Mexico’s
exports go to the US, and
the country receives substantial US investment.
MINTs may just have the potential to be as rewarding for
investors over the next ten years as BRICs have been in the past
ten, said the
firm in a statement.